Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Volume

$2.4M

Liquidity

$56,828

Open positions

850

Resolution

Dec 31 2025, 12:00 PM UTC

Live fills

YES2,100@ $0.0413:42:11NO1,250@ $0.0513:43:05YES3,400@ $0.0313:44:48NO980@ $0.9613:45:22YES2,100@ $0.0413:42:11NO1,250@ $0.0513:43:05YES3,400@ $0.0313:44:48NO980@ $0.9613:45:22

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Resolution

How this resolves

UMA · Optimistic

Track the current pricing, liquidity, and participation trend around Russia vs NATO on the Sayso board.

Resolves

Tomorrow

Dispute window

48h

Bond

5,000 USDC

Oracle sources

Polymarkethttps://polymarket.com/

Primary

Order book

Depth

PriceSizeTotal

$0.089.8k1

$0.077.0k0

$0.064.8k0

$0.052.9k0

Mid · 0.040Spread 0.920

$0.013.2k0

$0.025.4k0

$0.038.1k0

$0.0411.6k0

YES

4.0%

96.0%

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