Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Volume

$19.6M

Liquidity

$843,826

Open positions

2,213

Resolution

Dec 31 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Live fills

YES2,100@ $0.0913:42:11NO1,250@ $0.1013:43:05YES3,400@ $0.0813:44:48NO980@ $0.9113:45:22YES2,100@ $0.0913:42:11NO1,250@ $0.1013:43:05YES3,400@ $0.0813:44:48NO980@ $0.9113:45:22

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Resolution

How this resolves

UMA · Optimistic

Track the current pricing, liquidity, and participation trend around China-Taiwan 2026 on the Sayso board.

Resolves

Dec 31

Dispute window

48h

Bond

5,000 USDC

Oracle sources

Polymarkethttps://polymarket.com/

Primary

Order book

Depth

PriceSizeTotal

$0.139.8k1

$0.127.0k1

$0.114.8k1

$0.102.9k0

Mid · 0.090Spread 0.820

$0.063.2k0

$0.075.4k0

$0.088.1k1

$0.0911.6k1

YES

9.0%

91.0%

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